Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 00:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 41.20%2.43fair odd
EV +0.938%
Edge +0.383%
Kelly +0.647%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%41.24%41.33%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.65%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 58.80%1.70fair odd
EV -0.039%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.76%58.67%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.621.7064.10%62.05%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 41.20%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 58.80%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.938%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.938%E +0.383%K +0.647%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.938%E +0.383%K +0.647%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.938%E +0.383%K +0.647%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:40
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +0.526%E +0.216%K +0.365%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-24 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:39
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.298%E -0.123%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 02:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.298%E -0.123%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 02:40
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.710%E -0.294%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-24 03:50
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:40
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:40
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.95%E -0.818%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.995%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.995%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.995%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:45
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 02:43
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:15
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 03:00
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:39
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.09%E -4.49%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 02:40
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:15
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:15
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -4.83%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.039%E -0.023%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:39
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:59
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:10
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:45
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:39
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:40
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:45
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:40
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.89%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:09
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.71%E -3.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:28
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 02:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.49I 40.16%NM 40.29%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.71%-0.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 23:44
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-04-24 03:20
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%5.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%8.3%2026-04-24 03:40