L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 00:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 41.20%2.43cote équitable
EV +0.938%
Avantage +0.383%
Kelly +0.647%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.05%41.24%41.33%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.65%42.55%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.80%1.70cote équitable
EV -0.039%
Avantage -0.023%
Kelly -0.055%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.76%58.67%60.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.611.621.7064.10%62.05%61.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.938%E +0.383%K +0.647%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.938%E +0.383%K +0.647%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:39
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.938%E +0.383%K +0.647%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:40
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +0.526%E +0.216%K +0.365%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-24 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:39
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.298%E -0.123%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 02:44
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.298%E -0.123%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 02:40
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.710%E -0.294%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-24 03:50
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 02:40
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:40
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:40
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:40
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Everygame2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.95%E -0.818%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.995%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.995%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.995%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:45
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
MyBookie.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 02:43
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:15
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 03:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:39
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:39
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.09%E -4.49%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:39
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 02:40
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:15
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:15
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -4.83%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.039%E -0.023%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:39
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:10
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:45
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:39
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:45
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:39
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:39
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:39
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:40
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:19
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:45
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:45
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:40
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.89%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:09
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:09
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 00:39
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.71%E -3.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:28
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:19
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 02:39
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.49I 40.16%NM 40.29%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.71%-0.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 23:44
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-04-24 03:20
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%5.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%8.3%2026-04-24 03:40