Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-04-25 00:16 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 41.20%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.938%
Ventaja +0.383%
Kelly +0.647%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%41.24%41.33%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.65%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 58.80%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.039%
Ventaja -0.023%
Kelly -0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.76%58.67%60.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.611.621.7064.10%62.05%61.73%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 41.20%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 58.80%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.43. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.938%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.938%E +0.383%K +0.647%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.938%E +0.383%K +0.647%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.938%E +0.383%K +0.647%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:40
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +0.526%E +0.216%K +0.365%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-24 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:39
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +0.114%E +0.047%K +0.080%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.298%E -0.123%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 02:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.298%E -0.123%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-24 02:40
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.710%E -0.294%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-24 03:50
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.57%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:40
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:40
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:40
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.95%E -0.818%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-24 03:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.995%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.995%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.995%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:45
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 02:43
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 22:39
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 23:15
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 03:00
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:39
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.09%E -4.49%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 02:40
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:15
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:15
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -4.83%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -0.039%E -0.023%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:39
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:59
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:10
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:45
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 22:39
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:40
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:45
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.24%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:40
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.89%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:09
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.30%E -3.25%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.71%E -3.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:28
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 02:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.36%E -4.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 02:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.49I 40.16%NM 40.29%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.71%-0.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%0.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 23:44
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-04-24 03:20
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%5.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%8.3%2026-04-24 03:40