Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v San Francisco Giants

2026-09-14 23:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 54.59%1.83fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%54.73%54.55%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.741.741.8059.17%57.37%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 45.41%2.20fair odd
EV -0.091%
Edge -0.041%
Kelly -0.076%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.27%45.45%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.40%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 54.59%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 45.41%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.202. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.200, with an expected value of -0.091%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.74%E -0.969%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 23:35
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.091%E -0.041%K -0.076%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-14 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.999%E -0.458%K -0.847%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.999%E -0.458%K -0.847%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 01:00
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.999%E -0.458%K -0.847%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 23:00
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.93%E -2.23%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.72%E -1.76%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 22:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.93%E -2.23%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.18%E -1.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 00:55
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.47%E -2.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 00:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.47%E -2.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.47%E -2.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.47%E -2.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.47%E -2.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.54%E -2.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.47%E -2.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.54%E -2.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 00:45
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.47%E -2.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.54%E -2.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 01:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 01:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 23:35
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 01:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.99%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 00:44
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.90%E -3.37%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 01:00
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 01:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:15
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:24
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 00:50
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.90%E -3.37%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 00:45
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.90%E -3.37%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 00:45
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.66%E -3.89%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.75%E -4.58%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.17%E -4.59%K -9.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 00:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-09-14 00:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 22:10
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.3%2026-09-14 01:40
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-09-14 01:40
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%10.0%2026-09-14 00:45