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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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St. Louis Cardinals v San Francisco Giants

2026-09-14 23:46 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 54.76%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.794%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.52%54.84%54.83%56.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.741.741.8059.52%57.42%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 45.24%2.21momio equitativo
EV +1.79%
Ventaja +0.794%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.026%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.61%45.16%45.17%46.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2550.00%47.33%47.62%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 54.76%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 45.24%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.21. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.79%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.79%E +0.794%K +1.43%G +0.026%1.9%2026-09-14 04:00
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.79%E +0.794%K +1.43%G +0.026%1.9%2026-09-14 04:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV +0.429%E +0.193%K +0.352%G +0.002%2.5%2026-09-14 04:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV +0.429%E +0.193%K +0.352%G +0.002%2.5%2026-09-14 03:58
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.38%E -0.633%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 00:55
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 23:35
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-14 03:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 00:49
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 01:05
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 01:00
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 01:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.64%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 03:04
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.64%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 02:59
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 02:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 02:59
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 01:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:50
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 02:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 23:35
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 03:10
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 01:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:15
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 02:59
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:24
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 03:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 00:50
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 04:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 03:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.45%E -2.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 03:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 03:04
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 03:20
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 03:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.52%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 02:50
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.62%E -4.27%K -8.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 03:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%0.1%2026-09-14 02:25
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-14 04:00
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 22:10
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-09-14 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-09-14 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-09-14 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-09-14 03:00
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%3.5%2026-09-14 04:35