مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

St. Louis Cardinals v San Francisco Giants

2026-09-14 23:46 UTC — MLB

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

St. Louis Cardinals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.76%1.83السعر العادل
EV -1.43%
الأفضلية -0.794%
Kelly -1.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.52%54.84%54.83%56.39%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.741.741.8059.52%57.42%57.47%55.56%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

San Francisco Giants (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.24%2.21السعر العادل
EV +1.79%
الأفضلية +0.794%
Kelly +1.43%
النمو +0.026%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.61%45.16%45.17%46.48%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.112.102.2550.00%47.33%47.62%44.44%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨St. Louis Cardinals (المضيف)⁩: ⁨54.76%⁩؛ ⁨San Francisco Giants (الضيف)⁩: ⁨45.24%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨San Francisco Giants (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.21⁩. تعرض 4 شركات مراهنات أسعارًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨2.25⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.79%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.79%E +0.794%K +1.43%G +0.026%1.9%2026-09-14 04:00
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.79%E +0.794%K +1.43%G +0.026%1.9%2026-09-14 04:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV +0.429%E +0.193%K +0.352%G +0.002%2.5%2026-09-14 04:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV +0.429%E +0.193%K +0.352%G +0.002%2.5%2026-09-14 03:58
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.38%E -0.633%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 00:55
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 23:35
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-14 03:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 00:49
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 01:05
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 01:00
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 01:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.64%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 03:04
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.64%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 02:59
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 02:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 02:59
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 01:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:50
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 02:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 23:35
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 03:10
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 01:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:15
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 02:59
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:24
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 03:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 00:50
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 04:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 03:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.45%E -2.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 03:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 03:04
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 03:20
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 03:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 01:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.52%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 02:50
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.62%E -4.27%K -8.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 03:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (8)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%0.1%2026-09-14 02:25
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-14 04:00
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-13 22:10
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-09-14 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-09-14 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-09-14 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-09-14 03:00
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%3.5%2026-09-14 04:35