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St. Louis Cardinals v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 58.49%1.71fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.50%58.57%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.631.6764.52%61.36%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 41.51%2.41fair odd
EV +0.876%
Edge +0.360%
Kelly +0.612%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%41.50%41.43%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.4345.45%43.23%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 58.49%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 41.51%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.876%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.876%E +0.360%K +0.612%G +0.005% | 2.1% | 2026-06-15 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.370%E -0.154%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-15 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.00%E -4.41%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.370%E -0.154%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.370%E -0.154%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -0.785%E -0.328%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 20:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-15 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-15 23:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-15 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-15 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-15 20:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 23:06 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.84%E -3.62%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 20:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.91%E -1.75%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-15 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-15 21:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-15 20:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 20:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 21:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 20:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.91%E -1.75%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 20:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 20:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.84%E -3.62%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 23:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 23:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85% | -0.0% | 2026-06-15 23:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25% | 3.2% | 2026-06-15 23:29 |