Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-06-15 23:46 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 3–0 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 58.49%1.71odd justa
EV -2.33%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -3.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.50%58.57%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.631.631.6764.52%61.36%61.35%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 41.51%2.41odd justa
EV +0.876%
Vantagem +0.360%
Kelly +0.612%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%41.50%41.43%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.312.302.4345.45%43.23%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 58.49%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 41.51%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.41. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.43, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.876%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.876%E +0.360%K +0.612%G +0.005%2.1%2026-06-15 20:40
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.370%E -0.154%K -0.264%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.00%E -4.41%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.370%E -0.154%K -0.264%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.370%E -0.154%K -0.264%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -0.785%E -0.328%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 20:49
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-15 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-15 23:40
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-15 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 20:40
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-15 23:09
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 23:29
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 20:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-15 20:39
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:06
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.84%E -3.62%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 23:10
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 20:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.91%E -1.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 21:00
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 23:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 21:50
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 20:39
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:40
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:39
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 20:50
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:40
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:50
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:50
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 21:19
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:40
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 20:40
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 20:39
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.91%E -1.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 20:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.84%E -3.62%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 22:40
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 22:50
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 23:36
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 23:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85%-0.0%2026-06-15 23:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-15 23:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-15 23:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-15 23:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-06-15 23:30
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-06-15 23:40
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%3.2%2026-06-15 23:29