L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-15 23:46 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 3–0 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 58.49%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -3.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.50%58.57%60.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.631.631.6764.52%61.36%61.35%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.51%2.41cote équitable
EV +0.876%
Avantage +0.360%
Kelly +0.612%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.24%41.50%41.43%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.312.302.4345.45%43.23%43.48%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.876%E +0.360%K +0.612%G +0.005%2.1%2026-06-15 20:40
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.370%E -0.154%K -0.264%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 20:50
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.00%E -4.41%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.370%E -0.154%K -0.264%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 22:59
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.370%E -0.154%K -0.264%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 22:10
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -0.785%E -0.328%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 20:49
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-15 23:40
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-15 23:40
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-15 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.20%E -0.504%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 20:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-15 23:09
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.62%E -0.682%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 23:10
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 23:29
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-15 23:29
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 20:39
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-15 20:39
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:06
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.84%E -3.62%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 23:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 20:39
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.91%E -1.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 22:39
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 21:00
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 23:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 20:40
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 21:50
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 20:39
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:40
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:39
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:40
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:39
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:39
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:39
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 20:50
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:40
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:50
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:49
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:49
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:50
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:10
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 21:19
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:30
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:39
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:40
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:40
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 20:40
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.67%E -2.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.77%E -2.54%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 20:39
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.91%E -1.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 20:19
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 20:40
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 20:50
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.84%E -3.62%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 22:40
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 22:50
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.50%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 23:36
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 23:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85%-0.0%2026-06-15 23:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-15 23:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-15 23:30
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-15 23:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-06-15 23:30
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-06-15 23:40
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%3.2%2026-06-15 23:29