Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-30 18:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 48.08%2.08fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.705%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.10%48.05%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.981.992.0552.91%50.49%50.25%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 51.92%1.93fair odd
EV +0.214%
Edge +0.111%
Kelly +0.230%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.77%51.90%51.95%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.831.9356.18%54.36%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 48.08%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 51.92%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.926. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.930, producing a positive expected value of +0.214%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV +0.214%E +0.111%K +0.230%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 19:25
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.306%E -0.159%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.825%E -0.432%K -0.907%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 20:35
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.89%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.86%E -0.986%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 20:50
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.44%E -0.705%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 23:20
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.44%E -0.705%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.93%E -0.944%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.93%E -0.944%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 23:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:19
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 18:50
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 01:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.42%E -1.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 00:14
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 21:20
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 00:50
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.29%E -2.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.29%E -2.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.29%E -2.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:40
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:40
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:40
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.46%E -2.42%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 21:10
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.89%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 18:50
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 18:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 23:20
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 21:10
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 20:35
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 19:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 20:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 20:40
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:35
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:35
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 21:09
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 21:09
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 21:10
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 00:19
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.50%E -3.02%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.50%E -3.02%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.50%E -3.02%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.50%E -3.02%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.44%E -0.705%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 23:15
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 21:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.18%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 00:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.66%E -4.56%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.58%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 21:10
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -9.14%E -4.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -7.58%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 00:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-08-30 00:20
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-30 00:15
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-30 00:10
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-08-30 00:40
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%2.9%2026-08-29 19:45
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%7.8%2026-08-30 01:20