默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 18:16 UTC

最终结果: St. Louis Cardinals 4–5 Pittsburgh Pirates

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals (主队)

预测 46.49%2.15公平赔率
EV -0.980%
优势 -0.460%
Kelly -0.868%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布
45.31%46.46%46.56%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.982.062.052.1350.51%48.61%48.78%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 53.51%1.87公平赔率
EV -1.54%
优势 -0.836%
Kelly -1.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.84

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%53.54%53.44%54.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.781.781.8458.48%56.14%56.18%54.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:St. Louis Cardinals (主队):46.49%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客队):53.51%。 对于“St. Louis Cardinals (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.15。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.13,期望值为-0.980%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.980%E -0.460%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.61%E -1.43%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 17:45
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.980%E -0.460%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.14%E -1.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-30 18:05
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.45%E -0.682%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-30 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.45%E -0.682%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.14%E -1.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-30 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.45%E -0.682%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.14%E -1.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-30 18:10
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.45%E -0.682%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.14%E -1.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-30 18:05
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%EV -1.91%E -0.905%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%EV -1.54%E -0.836%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-30 18:10
Everygame🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.91%E -0.905%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 16:34
BetAnything🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.91%E -0.905%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 18:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 15:20
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 16:34
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 15:20
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.38%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.89%E -3.96%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.30%E -1.59%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.30%E -1.59%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 16:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.30%E -1.59%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.77%E -1.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.77%E -1.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:34
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.77%E -1.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.77%E -1.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:34
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.77%E -1.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:35
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.77%E -1.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:34
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.77%E -1.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 18:14
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.23%E -2.06%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.82%E -3.31%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:40
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 14:39
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 18:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 18:10
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:20
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:39
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.82%E -3.31%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 15:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.70%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.16%E -2.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.16%E -2.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.89%E -3.96%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.16%E -2.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.89%E -3.96%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:34
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.63%E -2.77%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:10
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.63%E -2.77%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:10
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.09%E -3.02%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.09%E -3.02%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:40
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.56%E -3.26%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 18:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 18:14
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.68%E -2.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 00:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.75%E -2.67%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:10
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.28%E -2.99%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.82%E -3.31%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 15:49
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 18:09
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.02%E -3.51%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.49%E -4.97%K -11.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.95%E -4.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.89%E -3.96%K -9.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-08-30 18:10
ProphetX◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-08-30 18:05
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-08-30 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-08-30 17:50
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-30 17:50
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-30 15:20
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-08-30 18:15
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%7.4%2026-08-30 18:10