Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-30 18:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 48.08%2.08momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.705%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%48.10%48.05%49.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.891.981.982.0552.91%50.57%50.51%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 51.92%1.93momio equitativo
EV +0.214%
Ventaja +0.111%
Kelly +0.230%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.65%51.90%51.95%53.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.781.841.831.9356.18%54.30%54.64%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 48.08%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 51.92%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.926. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.930, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.214%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV +0.214%E +0.111%K +0.230%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 19:25
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.306%E -0.159%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.825%E -0.432%K -0.907%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 20:35
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.34%E -0.707%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 02:10
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.89%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.86%E -0.986%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 20:50
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 02:10
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.44%E -0.705%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 23:20
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.44%E -0.705%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.93%E -0.944%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.93%E -0.944%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 23:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:19
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 02:10
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 02:10
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 01:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.90%E -1.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.42%E -1.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 00:14
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 00:50
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.29%E -2.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.29%E -2.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.29%E -2.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:40
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:40
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:40
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.46%E -2.42%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 21:10
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.89%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 18:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 23:20
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 21:10
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 19:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 20:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 20:40
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:35
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 21:09
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 21:09
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 01:40
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 21:10
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 00:19
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.50%E -3.02%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 00:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.50%E -3.02%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 01:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.50%E -3.02%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.50%E -3.02%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.50%E -3.02%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.44%E -0.705%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 23:15
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 21:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.85%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.18%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 00:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.66%E -4.56%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.58%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 21:10
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -9.14%E -4.83%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -7.58%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 00:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-08-30 02:00
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-30 00:15
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-30 00:10
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-08-30 02:05
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%2.9%2026-08-29 19:45
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-08-30 02:10