Language:English
St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 53.38%1.87fair odd
EV +0.352%
Edge +0.187%
Kelly +0.400%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%53.06%53.34%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8858.82%55.59%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 46.62%2.14fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.538%
Kelly +0.998%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%46.94%46.66%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.042.052.1752.63%48.99%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 53.38%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 46.62%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +1.17%E +0.538%K +0.998%G +0.012% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.235%E +0.109%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.235%E +0.109%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.235%E +0.109%K +0.205%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.231%E -0.108%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.697%E -0.327%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.16%E -0.549%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 16:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 17:23 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 11:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 18:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.26%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.25%E -0.675%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.56%E -1.23%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.49%E -1.69%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.96%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.96%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 07:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 05:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 03:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 03:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.65%E -4.42%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.85%E -1.57%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 12:48 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.36%E -2.64%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.36%E -2.64%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 17:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 03:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV +0.352%E +0.187%K +0.400%G +0.001% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.14%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.12%E -4.09%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -0.715%E -0.385%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.56%E -4.93%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -1.78%E -0.969%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -10.49%E -5.46%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.181%E -0.097%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.95%E -5.73%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.25%E -0.675%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.42%E -6.01%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 18:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.25%E -0.675%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.42%E -6.01%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.42%E -6.01%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 04:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 18:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:00 |