Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 18:16 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 2–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 53.38%1.87cote équitable
EV +0.352%
Avantage +0.187%
Kelly +0.400%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.53%53.06%53.34%55.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.801.801.8858.82%55.59%55.56%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.62%2.14cote équitable
EV +1.17%
Avantage +0.538%
Kelly +0.998%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%46.94%46.66%49.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.042.052.1752.63%48.99%48.78%46.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : St. Louis Cardinals (Local) : 53.38% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 46.62%. Pour Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.14. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.17, soit une espérance positive de +1.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +1.17%E +0.538%K +0.998%G +0.012%1.9%2026-08-29 18:14
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.235%E +0.109%K +0.205%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.235%E +0.109%K +0.205%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 18:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.235%E +0.109%K +0.205%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.231%E -0.108%K -0.202%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 18:10
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.697%E -0.327%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-29 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.16%E -0.549%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 16:00
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 17:23
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 11:10
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-29 18:15
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 18:13
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.26%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:14
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.25%E -0.675%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.56%E -1.23%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-29 17:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 17:59
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.49%E -1.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.96%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.96%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 14:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 04:20
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 07:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 05:33
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:14
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:14
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 03:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 03:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 03:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.65%E -4.42%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.85%E -1.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 12:48
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 17:59
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.36%E -2.64%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 11:35
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.36%E -2.64%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 11:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:35
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 17:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 03:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV +0.352%E +0.187%K +0.400%G +0.001%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.14%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 18:15
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.12%E -4.09%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -0.715%E -0.385%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.56%E -4.93%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -1.78%E -0.969%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -10.49%E -5.46%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:15
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.181%E -0.097%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.95%E -5.73%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:14
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.25%E -0.675%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.42%E -6.01%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 18:03
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.25%E -0.675%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.42%E -6.01%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.42%E -6.01%K -12.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-08-29 18:10
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-29 18:15
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-29 04:05
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-29 17:30
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-08-29 18:15
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%4.1%2026-08-29 18:14
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%7.4%2026-08-29 18:00