默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 18:16 UTC

最终结果: St. Louis Cardinals 2–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals (主队)

预测 53.38%1.87公平赔率
EV +0.352%
优势 +0.187%
Kelly +0.400%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
50.53%53.06%53.34%55.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.801.801.8858.82%55.59%55.56%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 46.62%2.14公平赔率
EV +1.17%
优势 +0.538%
Kelly +0.998%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 2.17

博彩公司预测分布
44.74%46.94%46.66%49.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.042.052.1752.63%48.99%48.78%46.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:St. Louis Cardinals (主队):53.38%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客队):46.62%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.14。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.17,对应+1.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV +1.17%E +0.538%K +0.998%G +0.012%1.9%2026-08-29 18:14
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.235%E +0.109%K +0.205%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.235%E +0.109%K +0.205%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 18:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +0.235%E +0.109%K +0.205%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.231%E -0.108%K -0.202%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 18:10
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.697%E -0.327%K -0.617%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-29 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.16%E -0.549%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 16:00
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 17:23
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 11:10
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-29 18:15
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 18:13
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.26%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.10%E -0.998%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:14
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.25%E -0.675%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.56%E -1.23%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-29 17:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.03%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 17:59
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.49%E -1.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.96%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.32%E -1.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.96%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 14:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 04:20
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 07:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 05:33
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:14
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.05%E -3.44%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:14
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 03:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 03:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 03:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.65%E -4.42%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.85%E -1.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 12:48
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 17:59
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.36%E -2.64%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 11:35
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.36%E -2.64%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 11:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:35
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 17:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 03:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.99%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV +0.352%E +0.187%K +0.400%G +0.001%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -8.16%E -4.14%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 18:15
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.12%E -4.09%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -0.715%E -0.385%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.56%E -4.93%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -1.78%E -0.969%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -10.49%E -5.46%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:15
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.181%E -0.097%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.95%E -5.73%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:14
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.25%E -0.675%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.42%E -6.01%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 18:03
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.25%E -0.675%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.42%E -6.01%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.42%E -6.01%K -12.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-08-29 18:10
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-29 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-08-29 18:15
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-29 04:05
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-29 17:30
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-08-29 18:15
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%4.1%2026-08-29 18:14
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%7.4%2026-08-29 18:00