The School of Odds

St. Louis Cardinals v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-07-09 23:46 — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 45.82%2.18fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.688%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%45.86%45.74%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.992.082.082.15MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
45.31%2.207Min
47.37%2.111Max
45.86%2.180Mean
45.74%2.186Median
45.82%2.182IQM
45.85%2.181Margin-weighted

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 54.18%1.85fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.14%54.26%54.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.82MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
52.63%1.900Min
54.69%1.829Max
54.14%1.847Mean
54.26%1.843Median
54.18%1.846IQM
54.15%1.847Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSt. Louis Cardinals (Local) ▼Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)MarginUpdated
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV +0.812% E +0.369% K +0.677% G +0.005%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -9.53% E -5.70% K -14.22% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:50
GTbets2.15I 46.51% NM 45.57%EV -1.48% E -0.688% K -1.29% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 54.43%EV -2.48% E -1.38% K -3.10% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 02:25
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51% NM 45.43%EV -1.48% E -0.688% K -1.29% G +0.000%1.79I 55.87% NM 54.57%EV -3.02% E -1.69% K -3.83% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 02:30
BetUS2.14I 46.73% NM 45.69%EV -1.94% E -0.905% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 54.31%EV -2.48% E -1.38% K -3.10% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 02:24
1xBet2.13I 46.95% NM 46.08%EV -2.40% E -1.12% K -2.12% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 53.92%EV -1.40% E -0.769% K -1.71% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-09 00:40
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95% NM 45.80%EV -2.40% E -1.12% K -2.12% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 54.20%EV -2.48% E -1.38% K -3.10% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 02:25
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95% NM 45.80%EV -2.40% E -1.12% K -2.12% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 54.20%EV -2.48% E -1.38% K -3.10% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 02:25
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17% NM 45.36%EV -2.85% E -1.35% K -2.55% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 54.64%EV -4.65% E -2.64% K -6.12% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 01:29
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17% NM 45.36%EV -2.85% E -1.35% K -2.55% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 54.64%EV -4.65% E -2.64% K -6.12% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 01:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17% NM 45.36%EV -2.85% E -1.35% K -2.55% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 54.64%EV -4.65% E -2.64% K -6.12% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 01:29
Bovada2.11I 47.39% NM 45.34%EV -3.31% E -1.57% K -2.98% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.66%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 02:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.11% E -2.32% K -5.33% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 01:40
Caesars2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.11% E -2.32% K -5.33% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 02:24
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.11% E -2.32% K -5.33% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 23:40
Betway2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.11% E -2.32% K -5.33% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 02:30
Coral2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 02:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 02:30
Unibet2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 01:30
Casumo2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 01:26
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 01:30
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 01:30
betPARX2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 01:34
BetMGM2.10I 47.62% NM 45.31%EV -3.77% E -1.80% K -3.43% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.69%EV -5.73% E -3.29% K -7.75% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 02:34
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85% NM 45.99%EV -4.23% E -2.02% K -3.88% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 54.01%EV -3.57% E -2.00% K -4.57% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 02:34
DraftKings2.09I 47.85% NM 45.71%EV -4.23% E -2.02% K -3.88% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 54.29%EV -4.65% E -2.64% K -6.12% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 02:30
FanDuel2.08I 48.08% NM 46.25%EV -4.69% E -2.25% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.79I 55.87% NM 53.75%EV -3.02% E -1.69% K -3.83% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 18:25
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08% NM 45.97%EV -4.69% E -2.25% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 54.03%EV -4.11% E -2.32% K -5.33% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 02:25
Bet Right2.08I 48.08% NM 45.83%EV -4.69% E -2.25% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 54.17%EV -4.65% E -2.64% K -6.12% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 02:35
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -4.69% E -2.25% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 02:30
BetRivers2.08I 48.08% NM 45.55%EV -4.69% E -2.25% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.45%EV -5.73% E -3.29% K -7.75% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 01:30
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08% NM 45.55%EV -4.69% E -2.25% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.45%EV -5.73% E -3.29% K -7.75% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 01:30
TABtouch2.08I 48.08% NM 45.55%EV -4.69% E -2.25% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.45%EV -5.73% E -3.29% K -7.75% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 01:30
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08% NM 45.55%EV -4.69% E -2.25% K -4.34% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.45%EV -5.73% E -3.29% K -7.75% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 01:30
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31% NM 46.23%EV -5.14% E -2.49% K -4.81% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 53.77%EV -3.57% E -2.00% K -4.57% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 02:35
NordicBet2.07I 48.31% NM 45.95%EV -5.14% E -2.49% K -4.81% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 54.05%EV -4.65% E -2.64% K -6.12% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 02:35
Betsson2.07I 48.31% NM 45.95%EV -5.14% E -2.49% K -4.81% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 54.05%EV -4.65% E -2.64% K -6.12% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 02:34
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54% NM 45.50%EV -5.60% E -2.72% K -5.29% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 54.50%EV -6.82% E -3.96% K -9.47% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 01:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.48% E -1.38% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 18:30
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.48% E -1.38% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 19:55
BetAnything2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.48% E -1.38% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 01:34
PlayUp2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.11% E -2.32% K -5.33% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 18:25
Neds2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.11% E -2.32% K -5.33% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 02:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.11% E -2.32% K -5.33% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 02:30
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -4.65% E -2.64% K -6.12% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 02:34
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -4.65% E -2.64% K -6.12% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 18:25
SportsBet2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -4.65% E -2.64% K -6.12% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 18:24
888sport2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:05
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 18:24
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:05
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:05
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 02:31
Fliff2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.73% E -3.29% K -7.75% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 02:05
ReBet2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -6.06% E -2.96% K -5.77% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.73% E -3.29% K -7.75% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 02:34
William Hill2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -8.35% E -4.18% K -8.35% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -2.48% E -1.38% K -3.10% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 01:55
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -8.35% E -4.18% K -8.35% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -5.19% E -2.97% K -6.92% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 21:03
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00% NM 45.95%EV -8.35% E -4.18% K -8.35% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.05%EV -7.90% E -4.65% K -11.29% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-09 02:35
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25% NM 46.22%EV -8.81% E -4.43% K -8.90% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 53.78%EV -7.36% E -4.30% K -10.36% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-09 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerSt. Louis Cardinals (Local)Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.17I 46.08% NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05% NM 53.98%0.1%2026-07-09 02:25
Polymarket2.17I 46.08% NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95% NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-08 19:55
Novig2.17I 46.08% NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95% NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-09 02:35
ProphetX2.12I 47.17% NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25% NM 53.94%2.4%2026-07-09 02:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17% NM 45.22%1.75I 57.14% NM 54.78%4.3%2026-07-09 02:35
Smarkets1.97I 50.76% NM 46.32%1.70I 58.82% NM 53.68%9.6%2026-07-09 02:35