L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Milwaukee Brewers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-09 23:46 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 4–8 Milwaukee Brewers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 46.80%2.14cote équitable
EV +0.622%
Avantage +0.289%
Kelly +0.541%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.44%46.72%46.75%48.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.042.052.1551.28%48.93%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.20%1.88cote équitable
EV +0.014%
Avantage +0.008%
Kelly +0.016%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.95%53.28%53.25%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.791.8858.82%55.91%55.87%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.622%E +0.289%K +0.541%G +0.003%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.50%E -4.94%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 23:44
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.25%E -0.592%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.18%E -1.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 23:45
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 23:15
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 23:44
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:34
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:04
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.97%E -4.60%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 03:55
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.03%E -5.28%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 23:25
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.56%E -5.62%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 20:29
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.19%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 23:40
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.65%E -1.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.58%E -0.855%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 23:45
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.65%E -1.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 23:39
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.58%E -0.855%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.58%E -0.855%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 23:45
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 23:40
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -3.59%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV +0.014%E +0.008%K +0.016%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-09 23:40
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.59%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.71%E -2.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 23:44
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.59%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 23:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:10
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:40
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:43
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:39
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:45
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:40
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:44
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.37%E -3.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:44
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.37%E -3.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:39
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:44
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.43%E -4.27%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 23:45
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.53%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 23:45
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:45
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:44
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:45
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -1.58%E -0.855%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 23:44
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:44
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:44
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:45
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:44
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:44
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:44
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 23:40
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.93%E -2.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.58%E -0.855%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:45
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:45
Betclic (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -6.87%E -3.45%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.97%E -4.60%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 23:43
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 23:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 23:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 23:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-07-09 23:39
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-09 23:45
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-09 23:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-09 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-07-09 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-07-09 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-07-09 23:40
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-07-09 23:44
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-07-09 23:45
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-07-09 23:40