La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-07-09 23:46 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 4–8 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 46.80%2.14momio equitativo
EV +0.622%
Ventaja +0.289%
Kelly +0.541%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.44%46.72%46.75%48.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1551.28%48.93%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 53.20%1.88momio equitativo
EV +0.014%
Ventaja +0.008%
Kelly +0.016%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.95%53.28%53.25%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.791.791.8858.82%55.91%55.87%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV +0.622%E +0.289%K +0.541%G +0.003%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -8.50%E -4.94%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 23:44
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.25%E -0.592%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.18%E -1.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 23:45
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 23:15
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 23:44
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:34
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:04
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.97%E -4.60%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 03:55
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.03%E -5.28%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 23:25
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.72%E -0.818%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.56%E -5.62%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 20:29
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.19%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 23:40
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.65%E -1.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.58%E -0.855%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 23:45
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.65%E -1.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 23:39
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.58%E -0.855%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 23:45
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.58%E -0.855%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 23:45
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 23:40
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -3.59%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV +0.014%E +0.008%K +0.016%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-09 23:40
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.59%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.71%E -2.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 23:44
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.59%E -1.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 23:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:10
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:40
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:43
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:39
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 23:45
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:40
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 23:44
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.37%E -3.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:44
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.37%E -3.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:39
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:44
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 23:44
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.43%E -4.27%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 23:45
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.53%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-09 23:45
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:45
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:44
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:45
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -1.58%E -0.855%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-09 23:44
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:44
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:44
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.77%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 23:45
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:44
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:44
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:45
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 23:44
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 23:40
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.93%E -2.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.58%E -0.855%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 23:45
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 23:45
Betclic (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -6.87%E -3.45%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.97%E -4.60%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 23:43
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 23:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 23:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 23:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-07-09 23:39
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-09 23:45
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-09 23:45
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-09 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-07-09 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-07-09 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-07-09 23:40
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-07-09 23:44
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-07-09 23:45
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-07-09 23:40