Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 00:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 7–2 Los Angeles Dodgers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 39.05%2.56fair odd
EV -0.430%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.99%39.05%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.452.5542.55%40.53%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 60.95%1.64fair odd
EV -0.647%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%61.01%60.95%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.571.6366.67%64.29%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 39.05%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 60.95%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.430%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:29
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 20:39
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:05
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:05
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:25
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.21%E -0.478%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.60%E -0.635%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.60%E -0.635%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 14:44
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.38%E -0.953%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 00:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.38%E -0.953%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.38%E -0.953%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 15:24
BetUS🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-02 00:15
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.26%E -0.776%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 22:29
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.55%E -1.44%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -3.94%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -0.647%E -0.397%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.94%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 22:28
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 07:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:29
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:39
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 00:14
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.72%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 22:30
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.12%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.09%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 00:09
Bovada🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 23:33
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:09
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:09
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:04
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 22:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 00:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.35%E -4.84%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:29
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 22:29
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 21:50
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 21:45
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 21:45
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-05-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-05-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-05-02 00:14
BetOpenly2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-02 00:14
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-05-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-05-02 00:15
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-01 22:45
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-05-01 22:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-05-01 23:44
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.4%2026-05-02 00:15