La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-05-02 00:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 7–2 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 39.05%2.56momio equitativo
EV -0.430%
Ventaja -0.168%
Kelly -0.277%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.99%39.05%40.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.472.452.5542.55%40.53%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 60.95%1.64momio equitativo
EV -0.647%
Ventaja -0.397%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%61.01%60.95%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.571.6366.67%64.29%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:29
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:29
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 20:39
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:05
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:05
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:25
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
GTbets2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.21%E -0.478%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 14:44
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.60%E -0.635%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 14:44
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.60%E -0.635%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 14:44
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.38%E -0.953%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 00:04
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.38%E -0.953%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 00:04
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.38%E -0.953%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 15:24
BetUS2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-02 00:15
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.26%E -0.776%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 22:29
FanDuel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:04
SportsBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.55%E -1.44%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -3.94%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -0.647%E -0.397%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 22:34
MyBookie.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.94%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 22:24
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 22:28
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 07:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
ReBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:29
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:39
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:39
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 00:14
DraftKings2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.72%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 22:30
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.12%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.09%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 00:09
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 23:33
Bet Right2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:09
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:09
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 19:59
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:04
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:30
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 22:29
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 00:04
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:25
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:30
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.35%E -4.84%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 00:15
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:29
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 22:29
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 21:50
NordicBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 21:45
Betsson2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 21:45
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-05-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-05-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-05-02 00:14
BetOpenly2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-02 00:14
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-05-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-05-02 00:15
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-01 22:45
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-05-01 22:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-05-01 23:44
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.4%2026-05-02 00:15