L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Los Angeles Dodgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 00:16 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 7–2 Los Angeles Dodgers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 39.05%2.56cote équitable
EV -0.430%
Avantage -0.168%
Kelly -0.277%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.99%39.05%40.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.472.452.5542.55%40.53%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.95%1.64cote équitable
EV -0.647%
Avantage -0.397%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.49%61.01%60.95%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.571.6366.67%64.29%63.69%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:29
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 23:29
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 20:39
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:05
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:05
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:25
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.430%E -0.168%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:29
GTbets2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.21%E -0.478%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 14:44
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.60%E -0.635%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 14:44
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.60%E -0.635%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-01 14:44
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.38%E -0.953%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-01 00:04
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.38%E -0.953%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 00:04
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.38%E -0.953%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 15:24
BetUS2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-02 00:15
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.26%E -0.776%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 22:29
FanDuel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:04
SportsBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.55%E -1.44%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:04
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -3.94%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -0.647%E -0.397%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-01 22:34
MyBookie.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.94%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 22:24
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 22:28
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 07:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:34
ReBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 22:29
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:39
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:39
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 00:14
DraftKings2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.72%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 22:30
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.12%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.09%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 00:09
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 23:33
Bet Right2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:09
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:09
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 19:59
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:04
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 22:30
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 22:29
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 00:04
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:25
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 22:30
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.35%E -4.84%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 00:15
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 22:29
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 22:29
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 21:50
NordicBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 21:45
Betsson2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.15%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.69%E -2.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 21:45
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.48%E -1.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-05-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-05-02 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-05-02 00:14
BetOpenly2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-05-02 00:14
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-05-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-05-02 00:15
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-01 22:45
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-05-01 22:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-05-01 23:44
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.4%2026-05-02 00:15