Language:English
St. Louis Cardinals v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 56.33%1.78fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.811%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%56.24%56.33%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.681.7562.50%59.39%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 43.67%2.29fair odd
EV +0.438%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.337%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%43.76%43.67%45.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3048.78%45.26%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 56.33%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 43.67%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.438%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-07-24 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-24 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.872%E -0.384%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.872%E -0.384%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-24 20:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-24 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.87%E -6.17%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.98%E -1.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-25 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 00:08 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.31%E -5.78%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.62%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-24 20:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.42%E -0.811%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.06%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-24 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.06%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.06%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-24 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-24 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-25 00:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-24 23:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-24 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 23:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.87%E -6.17%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-25 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-25 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.42%E -0.811%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-24 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 2.6% | 2026-07-25 00:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57% | 3.0% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 00:15 |
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