La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-07-25 00:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 2–4 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 56.33%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.811%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.38%56.24%56.33%58.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.7562.50%59.39%59.52%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 43.67%2.29momio equitativo
EV +0.438%
Ventaja +0.190%
Kelly +0.337%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.56%43.76%43.67%45.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.202.3048.78%45.26%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-24 23:55
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-24 21:45
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-25 00:15
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-24 21:45
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 21:45
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:45
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:45
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:45
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:45
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:45
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.872%E -0.384%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 00:15
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.872%E -0.384%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 00:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-24 20:45
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:05
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 22:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:45
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:45
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:45
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.87%E -6.17%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 21:50
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.98%E -1.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 00:10
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 00:15
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 00:14
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 00:08
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.31%E -5.78%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.62%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 20:40
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.42%E -0.811%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.06%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 23:55
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.06%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 00:14
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.06%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 23:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 23:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 00:05
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:55
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 00:14
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 00:14
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:55
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 00:14
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 00:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 00:14
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 20:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.87%E -6.17%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 00:15
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 00:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 00:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 00:05
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 23:55
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 00:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 00:14
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:55
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 00:15
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 00:14
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 00:15
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.42%E -0.811%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 00:15
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 00:15
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 00:14
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 00:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 00:04
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 00:15
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-24 23:55
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-24 22:15
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-07-25 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-07-25 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-07-25 00:15
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-07-25 00:15
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-07-25 00:14
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%3.0%2026-07-25 00:15
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%4.9%2026-07-25 00:15