La scuola delle quote

St. Louis Cardinals v Cincinnati Reds

Inizio: 2026-07-25 00:16 UTC

Finale: St. Louis Cardinals 2–4 Cincinnati Reds

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Casa)

Previsione 56.33%1.78quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.811%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.38%56.24%56.33%58.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.681.681.7562.50%59.39%59.52%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.67%2.29quota equa
EV +0.438%
Vantaggio +0.190%
Kelly +0.337%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.56%43.76%43.67%45.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.212.202.3048.78%45.26%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-24 23:55
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-24 21:45
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-25 00:15
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.438%E +0.190%K +0.337%G +0.001%3.4%2026-07-24 21:45
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 21:45
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:45
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:45
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:45
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:45
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.436%E -0.191%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:45
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.872%E -0.384%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 00:15
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.872%E -0.384%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-25 00:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-24 20:45
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:05
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.05%E -4.27%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 22:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:45
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:45
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:45
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.87%E -6.17%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.75%E -0.776%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 21:50
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.98%E -1.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 00:10
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 00:15
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.55%E -1.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 00:14
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.18%E -0.974%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 00:08
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -9.31%E -5.78%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -2.62%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 20:40
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.42%E -0.811%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.06%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 23:55
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.06%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 00:14
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.06%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 23:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 23:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 00:05
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:55
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 00:14
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 00:14
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:55
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 00:14
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 00:14
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 00:14
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 20:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.87%E -6.17%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.93%E -1.79%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 00:15
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 00:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 00:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 00:05
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 23:55
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 00:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 00:14
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:55
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 00:15
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 00:14
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 00:15
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.42%E -0.811%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.55%E -3.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 00:15
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 00:15
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.30%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 00:14
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 00:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 00:04
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 00:15
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.48%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 00:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-24 23:55
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-24 22:15
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-07-25 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-07-25 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-07-25 00:15
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-07-25 00:15
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-07-25 00:14
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%3.0%2026-07-25 00:15
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%4.9%2026-07-25 00:15