Language:English
St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV +0.712%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +0.712%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%50.29%50.39%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.911.912.0054.35%52.38%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 49.64%2.01fair odd
EV -0.712%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%49.71%49.61%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.49%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 50.36%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 49.64%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.712%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.712%E +0.356%K +0.712%G +0.005% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.712%E +0.356%K +0.712%G +0.005% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -0.799%E -0.405%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -0.799%E -0.405%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -0.799%E -0.405%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-29 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.21%E -0.607%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.71%E -0.861%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-29 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-29 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-29 18:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-29 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-29 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.712%E -0.356%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 23:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 20:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 20:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 20:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 14:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 17:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 23:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 23:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00% | 1.5% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 23:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97% | 2.6% | 2026-07-29 23:44 |
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