默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

开赛时间: 2026-07-29 23:46 UTC

最终结果: St. Louis Cardinals 3–2 Chicago Cubs

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals (主队)

预测 50.36%1.99公平赔率
EV +0.712%
优势 +0.356%
Kelly +0.712%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
48.41%50.29%50.39%51.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.841.911.912.0054.35%52.38%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Cubs (客队)

预测 49.64%2.01公平赔率
EV -0.712%
优势 -0.356%
Kelly -0.712%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
48.68%49.71%49.61%51.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.49%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:St. Louis Cardinals (主队):50.36%;Chicago Cubs (客队):49.64%。 对于“St. Louis Cardinals (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.99。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.00,对应+0.712%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.712%E +0.356%K +0.712%G +0.005%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-29 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.712%E +0.356%K +0.712%G +0.005%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-29 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -0.799%E -0.405%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -0.799%E -0.405%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -0.799%E -0.405%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:40
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:40
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:40
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.30%E -0.664%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:40
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.21%E -0.607%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 23:40
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.71%E -0.861%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 23:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 18:30
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 18:30
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 20:30
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.712%E -0.356%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 23:45
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:38
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 23:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 23:45
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 13:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 13:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:25
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 14:15
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 21:30
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 18:10
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 18:10
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 20:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 20:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:45
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 14:18
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 23:45
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 22:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 23:34
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 23:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-07-29 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-29 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-29 23:45
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-07-29 23:45
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-29 23:45
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-29 19:30
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-07-29 23:45
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-07-29 23:45
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-07-29 23:45
BetOpenly◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%2.6%2026-07-29 23:44