Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-07-28 01:33 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 3–7 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 47.22%2.12odd justa
EV -0.830%
Vantagem -0.395%
Kelly -0.754%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.88%47.29%47.17%48.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.882.022.022.1053.19%49.62%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 52.78%1.89odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.700%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.72%52.71%52.83%55.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.711.811.811.8758.48%55.10%55.25%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 47.22%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 52.78%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.12. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.10, com valor esperado de -0.830%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.830%E -0.395%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:05
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.830%E -0.395%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.75%E -5.70%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 00:45
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.77%E -0.853%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 23:00
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.77%E -0.853%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 23:00
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.77%E -0.853%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 00:20
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.25%E -1.09%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.84%E -0.987%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.25%E -1.09%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.25%E -1.09%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 23:00
Everygame🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.84%E -0.987%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 00:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 00:33
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 01:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 17:10
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 00:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 23:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:44
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.66%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 16:10
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.66%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.48%E -2.47%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 01:15
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.14%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.48%E -2.47%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 01:00
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.31%E -0.700%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-28 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.31%E -0.700%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-28 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.89%E -1.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 01:20
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 16:10
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:40
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:50
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 01:25
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 01:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.08%E -2.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 01:10
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 23:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 01:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.50%E -3.28%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 01:20
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 01:10
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 01:10
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 01:10
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 01:20
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -4.86%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -11.22%E -5.97%K -12.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -8.17%E -4.70%K -11.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 01:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-28 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-28 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-07-28 01:30
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-28 01:30
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-27 22:25
Novig◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-28 01:30
ProphetX◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-07-28 01:30
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-07-28 00:35
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%8.8%2026-07-28 01:30