L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-27 23:46 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 49.00%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.509%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.12%48.84%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.39%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.00%1.96cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.16%51.05%52.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.851.851.9255.87%53.91%54.05%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.03%E -0.509%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 08:00
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 02:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 01:20
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 04:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 02:10
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:00
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:05
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:05
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 05:32
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 03:05
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 06:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 06:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 06:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 06:20
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 03:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 06:34
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 02:05
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 06:15
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 06:20
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:20
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.60%E -1.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 02:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 06:20
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:20
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:20
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -8.70%E -4.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 02:50
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:20
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 00:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 00:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 00:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 06:20
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 00:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.40%E -3.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 06:20
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 06:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-07-27 07:45
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-27 08:01
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-27 04:30
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-27 06:15
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-07-27 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-07-27 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-07-27 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%3.7%2026-07-27 06:09
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%8.6%2026-07-27 08:00