La scuola delle quote

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-27 23:46 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Casa)

Previsione 49.00%2.04quota equa
EV -1.03%
Vantaggio -0.509%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.12%48.84%48.95%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.39%51.28%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.00%1.96quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.16%51.05%52.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.851.851.9255.87%53.91%54.05%52.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.03%E -0.509%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 08:00
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 02:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 01:20
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 04:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 02:10
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:00
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:05
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:05
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 05:32
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 03:05
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 06:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 06:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 06:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 06:20
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 03:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 06:34
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 02:05
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 06:15
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 06:20
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:20
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.60%E -1.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 02:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 06:20
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:20
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:20
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -8.70%E -4.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 02:50
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:20
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 00:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 00:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 00:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 06:20
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 00:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.40%E -3.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 06:20
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 06:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-07-27 07:45
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-27 08:01
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-27 04:30
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-27 06:15
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-07-27 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-07-27 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-07-27 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%3.7%2026-07-27 06:09
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%8.6%2026-07-27 08:00