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St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Predicción 47.22%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.830%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.754%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%47.29%47.17%48.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.882.022.022.1053.19%49.62%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 52.78%1.89momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.700%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.72%52.71%52.83%55.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.811.811.8758.48%55.10%55.25%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 47.22%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 52.78%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.12. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.10, con un valor esperado de -0.830%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.830%E -0.395%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.830%E -0.395%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.75%E -5.70%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 00:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.77%E -0.853%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.77%E -0.853%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.77%E -0.853%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-28 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.25%E -1.09%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.84%E -0.987%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-28 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.25%E -1.09%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.25%E -1.09%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.84%E -0.987%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-28 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 00:33 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.66%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.66%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.48%E -2.47%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 01:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.14%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.48%E -2.47%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.31%E -0.700%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-28 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.31%E -0.700%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.89%E -1.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 01:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 01:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 01:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.08%E -2.53%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 01:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.50%E -3.28%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 01:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 01:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -4.86%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -5.53%E -3.09%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -11.22%E -5.97%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -8.17%E -4.70%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.9% | 2026-07-28 00:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |