La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-27 23:46 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 49.00%2.04momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.509%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.12%48.84%48.95%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.39%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 51.00%1.96momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.16%51.05%52.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.851.851.9255.87%53.91%54.05%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.03%E -0.509%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 08:00
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 02:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 01:20
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 04:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 02:10
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:00
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:05
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:05
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 05:32
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:05
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 03:05
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 06:20
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 06:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 06:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 06:20
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 03:04
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 03:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 06:34
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 02:05
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 06:15
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 06:20
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:20
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.60%E -1.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 02:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 06:20
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:20
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:20
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 06:20
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -8.70%E -4.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 02:50
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:20
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 00:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 00:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 00:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 06:20
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 00:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.40%E -3.91%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.17%E -3.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 06:20
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 06:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-07-27 07:45
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-27 08:01
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-27 04:30
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-27 06:15
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-07-27 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-07-27 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-07-27 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%3.7%2026-07-27 06:09
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%8.6%2026-07-27 08:00