Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.18
assuming max odds 1.88
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 45.56%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 54.44%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.34%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV +2.34%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062% | 2.0% | 2026-08-27 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -9.33%E -4.69%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -0.926%E -0.509%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.47%E -0.813%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-27 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-27 15:36 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-27 16:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.86%E -1.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-27 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.671%E -0.308%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.13%E -0.519%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.13%E -0.519%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.86%E -1.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-27 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.13%E -0.519%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-27 18:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.68%E -2.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 15:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.68%E -2.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 14:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-27 16:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-27 18:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 16:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 15:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-27 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 18:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.87%E -4.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -7.96%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 1.8% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.8% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |