默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals v Baltimore Orioles

开赛时间: 2026-08-27 18:16 UTC

最终结果: St. Louis Cardinals 7–5 Baltimore Orioles

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals (主队)

预测 45.56%2.19公平赔率
EV -0.671%
优势 -0.308%
Kelly -0.568%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.18

博彩公司预测分布
44.74%45.63%45.57%47.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.992.092.102.1850.25%47.78%47.62%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Baltimore Orioles (客队)

预测 54.44%1.84公平赔率
EV +2.34%
优势 +1.24%
Kelly +2.66%
增长率 +0.062%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
52.16%54.37%54.43%55.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.751.751.8859.88%57.15%57.31%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:St. Louis Cardinals (主队):45.56%;Baltimore Orioles (客队):54.44%。 对于“Baltimore Orioles (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.84。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.88,对应+2.34%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV +2.34%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062%2.0%2026-08-27 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -9.33%E -4.69%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -0.926%E -0.509%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 11:05
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.47%E -0.813%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-27 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 16:00
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 15:36
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 16:23
theScore Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.86%E -1.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-27 15:40
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.671%E -0.308%K -0.568%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-27 18:15
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.13%E -0.519%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-27 18:15
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.13%E -0.519%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-27 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-27 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-27 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.86%E -1.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-27 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 15:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 16:00
BetAnything🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.13%E -0.519%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-27 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 18:13
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 16:35
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.68%E -2.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 15:59
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.68%E -2.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 18:10
Bovada🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 18:14
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 18:10
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 16:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 16:01
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 16:00
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 18:14
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 18:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 18:10
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 18:10
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 18:05
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 16:01
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 16:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-27 16:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 16:35
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 16:35
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 18:10
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 15:31
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 18:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 18:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 15:35
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 18:15
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 18:08
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.87%E -4.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-27 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -7.96%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-27 18:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-08-27 18:15
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-27 18:15
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-08-27 18:15
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-27 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-08-27 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-08-27 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-08-27 18:15
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-08-27 18:15
BetOpenly◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%1.8%2026-08-27 18:10
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-08-27 18:15