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St. Louis Cardinals v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Predicción 45.56%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.671%
Ventaja -0.308%
Kelly -0.568%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%45.63%45.57%47.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.992.092.102.1850.25%47.78%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 54.44%1.84momio equitativo
EV +2.34%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +2.66%
Crecimiento +0.062%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.16%54.37%54.43%55.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.751.8859.88%57.15%57.31%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 45.56%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 54.44%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.84. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.88, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.34%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV +2.34%E +1.24%K +2.66%G +0.062% | 2.0% | 2026-08-27 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -9.33%E -4.69%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -0.926%E -0.509%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.47%E -0.813%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-27 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-27 15:36 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-27 16:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.86%E -1.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-27 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.671%E -0.308%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.13%E -0.519%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.13%E -0.519%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.04%E -0.948%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.86%E -1.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.56%E -1.43%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-27 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.13%E -0.519%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-27 18:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.68%E -2.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 15:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.68%E -2.75%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.19%E -2.38%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 14:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-27 16:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-27 18:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.40%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 16:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 15:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.37%E -3.70%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.91%E -4.04%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.32%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-27 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.23%E -2.51%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 18:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.87%E -4.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -7.96%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.09%E -5.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 0.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 1.8% | 2026-08-27 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.8% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |