Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.95
assuming max odds 1.99
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.78%E -0.914%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 14:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 20:38 |
| Everygame | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 14:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.23%E -0.619%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 22:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 22:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 19:43 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
| ReBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 17:19 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:04 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:24 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 17:09 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 18:49 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 21:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 14:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 17:09 |
| Neds | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 14:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 14:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 22:19 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 14:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 14:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.32%E -3.40%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-11 22:47 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Novig | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| ProphetX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 17:15 |
| Polymarket | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
| BetOpenly | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 22:49 |