The School of Odds

St. Louis Cardinals v Atlanta Braves

2026-07-11 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 49.52%2.02fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.497%
Kelly +0.974%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.27%49.61%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.931.912.0455%52%52%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 50.48%1.98fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.537%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.73%50.39%52.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.891.9656%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +1.01%E +0.497%K +0.974%G +0.010%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV +1.01%E +0.497%K +0.974%G +0.010%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 18:54
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.967%E -0.484%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 18:55
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.05%E -0.537%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 17:58
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.44%E -1.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 18:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.44%E -1.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 18:25
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.44%E -1.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 19:19
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.94%E -2.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.93%E -2.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.08%E -2.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 17:49
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.93%E -2.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.08%E -2.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 18:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 17:49
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 17:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 17:59
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.08%E -2.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 18:00
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.59%E -2.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 18:05
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 17:53
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.12%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:44
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.12%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:50
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.92%E -3.12%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 17:54
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.92%E -3.12%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.60%E -2.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.39%E -5.13%K -11.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -8.62%E -4.76%K -10.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-10 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.88%E -5.43%K -12.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-07-10 18:35
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-10 18:35
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%9.9%2026-07-10 17:50