Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 23:15 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 4–1 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 50.37%1.99fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.914%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%50.36%50.52%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.911.9554.64%52.56%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 49.63%2.01fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.619%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.64%49.48%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.921.911.9954.05%52.07%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.78%E -0.914%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 14:04
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:38
Everygame1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 14:04
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.23%E -0.619%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 23:09
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:09
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:09
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 22:44
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 19:43
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 21:30
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 14:04
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 21:29
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 17:19
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:09
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 17:09
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:09
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:04
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:24
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:24
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:29
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:29
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:29
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 17:09
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:49
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:39
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 21:19
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:04
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 17:09
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:24
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:29
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 14:05
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:19
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 21:30
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 21:30
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:39
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:20
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:49
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:39
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:39
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 22:19
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 14:19
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:04
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 23:04
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:50
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.32%E -3.40%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 14:19
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 22:47
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-07-11 23:09
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-11 23:09
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-11 17:15
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-11 21:29
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-07-11 23:09
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-07-11 22:49