默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals v Atlanta Braves

开赛时间: 2026-07-11 23:15 UTC

最终结果: St. Louis Cardinals 4–1 Atlanta Braves

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals (主队)

预测 50.37%1.99公平赔率
EV -1.78%
优势 -0.914%
Kelly -1.88%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
48.94%50.36%50.52%51.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.901.911.9554.64%52.56%52.36%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlanta Braves (客队)

预测 49.63%2.01公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.619%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.99

博彩公司预测分布
48.95%49.64%49.48%51.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.921.911.9954.05%52.07%52.36%50.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:St. Louis Cardinals (主队):50.37%;Atlanta Braves (客队):49.63%。 对于“Atlanta Braves (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.01。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.99,期望值为-1.23%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.78%E -0.914%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 14:04
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:38
Everygame🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 14:04
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.23%E -0.619%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:09
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:09
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 22:44
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 19:43
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 21:29
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 17:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:09
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:09
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:04
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:24
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:29
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 17:09
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:49
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 21:19
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 17:09
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:29
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:39
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:49
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:39
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:39
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 22:19
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 14:19
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.32%E -3.40%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 22:47
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-07-11 23:09
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-11 23:09
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-11 17:15
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-11 21:29
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-07-11 23:09
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-07-11 22:49