مدرسة الاحتمالات

St. Louis Cardinals v Atlanta Braves

البداية: 2026-07-11 23:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: St. Louis Cardinals 4–1 Atlanta Braves

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.37%1.99السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -0.914%
Kelly -1.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.94%50.36%50.52%51.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.901.911.9554.64%52.56%52.36%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlanta Braves (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.63%2.01السعر العادل
EV -1.23%
الأفضلية -0.619%
Kelly -1.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.99

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.95%49.64%49.48%51.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.851.921.911.9954.05%52.07%52.36%50.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.78%E -0.914%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 14:04
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:38
Everygame1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 14:04
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.23%E -0.619%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 23:09
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:09
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:09
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 22:44
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 19:43
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 21:30
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 14:04
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 21:29
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 17:19
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:09
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 17:09
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:09
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:04
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:24
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:24
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:29
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:29
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 21:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:29
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 17:09
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:49
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:39
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 21:19
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:04
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 17:09
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:24
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 21:29
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 14:05
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:19
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 21:30
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 21:30
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:39
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:20
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:49
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:39
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:39
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 22:19
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 14:19
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 14:04
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 23:04
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:50
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.32%E -3.40%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 14:19
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 22:47
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-07-11 23:09
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-11 23:09
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 23:05
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-11 17:15
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-11 21:29
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-07-11 23:09
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-07-11 22:49