Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 00:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 2–1 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 40.76%2.45fair odd
EV -0.138%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.81%40.81%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.372.4544.44%42.48%42.28%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 59.24%1.69fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%59.19%59.19%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6664.52%62.23%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.138%E -0.056%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-10 21:50
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.138%E -0.056%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 12:59
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -0.953%E -0.392%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 22:25
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.77%E -0.734%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 22:25
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.77%E -0.734%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 22:24
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.66%E -1.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 23:59
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:04
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 20:08
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 22:24
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 21:49
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 21:45
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 18:00
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:19
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:20
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:25
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:19
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:20
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.66%E -1.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:53
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 00:14
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 17:55
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 20:14
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 21:45
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 21:45
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:50
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:45
BetAnything2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -1.66%E -1.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:54
MyBookie.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:28
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:39
SportsBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 12:19
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:24
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:40
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 23:40
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 20:25
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 20:54
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 20:54
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 20:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 21:24
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:05
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 20:20
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:09
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 20:25
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 20:25
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:15
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 21:24
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 20:24
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 20:25
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:14
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:09
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 00:04
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 21:50
Betclic (FR)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -7.88%E -3.49%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 23:48
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 00:15
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 00:14
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 00:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-07-11 00:04
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-07-11 00:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-11 00:15
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-10 14:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-10 20:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-11 00:15
BetOpenly2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-10 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-11 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-11 00:15
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-07-11 00:15