The School of Odds

St. Louis Cardinals v Atlanta Braves

2026-07-11 00:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 40.19%2.49fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%40.22%40.20%41.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.382.4445%42%42%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 59.81%1.67fair odd
EV -0.122%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.183%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.66%59.78%59.80%60.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6766%63%63%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.93%E -0.791%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.92%E -1.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-09 19:09
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.73%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.92%E -1.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 19:09
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.73%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.92%E -1.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-09 19:14
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-09 20:18
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 20:08
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 18:00
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 18:25
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 20:14
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 20:14
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 20:14
DraftKings2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -3.94%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.31%E -2.69%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 20:09
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.34%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 17:55
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.34%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.31%E -2.69%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 20:09
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.34%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.31%E -2.69%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 20:14
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.34%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 17:55
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -4.74%E -2.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -0.122%E -0.073%K -0.183%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 18:25
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 19:35
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 19:05
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.31%E -2.69%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 20:09
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.51%E -3.48%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 20:09
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.95%E -2.54%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.51%E -3.48%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 17:54
Betclic (FR)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.95%E -2.54%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.51%E -3.48%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 20:09
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 18:05
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 18:04
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 19:04
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.31%E -2.69%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 18:04
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.70%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 20:10
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.50%E -5.55%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-09 20:10
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.58%E -5.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-09 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-09 18:25
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-09 17:55
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.1%2026-07-09 20:20
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.20%10.4%2026-07-09 20:10