La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-07-11 00:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 2–1 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 40.76%2.45momio equitativo
EV -0.138%
Ventaja -0.056%
Kelly -0.095%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%40.81%40.81%42.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.352.372.4544.44%42.48%42.28%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 59.24%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.84%59.19%59.19%61.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.611.611.6664.52%62.23%62.11%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.138%E -0.056%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-10 21:50
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.138%E -0.056%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 12:59
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -0.953%E -0.392%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 22:25
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.77%E -0.734%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 22:25
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.77%E -0.734%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 22:24
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.66%E -1.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 23:59
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:04
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 20:08
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 22:24
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 21:49
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 21:45
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 18:00
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:19
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:20
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:25
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:19
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:20
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.66%E -1.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:53
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 00:14
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 17:55
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 20:14
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 21:45
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 21:45
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:50
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:45
BetAnything2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -1.66%E -1.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:54
MyBookie.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:28
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:39
SportsBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 12:19
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:24
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:40
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 23:40
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 20:25
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 20:54
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 20:54
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 20:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 21:24
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:05
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 20:20
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:09
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 20:25
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 20:25
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:15
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 21:24
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 20:24
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 20:25
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:14
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:09
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 00:04
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 21:50
Betclic (FR)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -7.88%E -3.49%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 23:48
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 00:15
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 00:14
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-07-11 00:04
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-07-11 00:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-11 00:15
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-10 14:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-10 20:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-11 00:15
BetOpenly2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-10 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-11 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-11 00:15
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-07-11 00:15