L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 00:16 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 2–1 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 40.76%2.45cote équitable
EV -0.138%
Avantage -0.056%
Kelly -0.095%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%40.81%40.81%42.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.352.372.4544.44%42.48%42.28%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.24%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.84%59.19%59.19%61.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.611.611.6664.52%62.23%62.11%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.138%E -0.056%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-10 21:50
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.138%E -0.056%K -0.095%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 12:59
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -0.953%E -0.392%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 22:25
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.77%E -0.734%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 22:25
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.77%E -0.734%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-10 22:24
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.66%E -1.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-10 23:59
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 10:04
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 20:08
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-09 22:24
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 21:49
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 21:45
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 18:00
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:19
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:20
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:25
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:19
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:20
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.58%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.66%E -1.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:53
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 00:14
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 17:55
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 20:14
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 21:45
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 21:45
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:50
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:45
BetAnything2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -1.66%E -1.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-10 22:54
MyBookie.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:28
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.40%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:39
SportsBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -3.81%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 12:19
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:24
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 20:40
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 23:40
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 20:25
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 20:54
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 20:54
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 20:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 21:24
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:05
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 20:20
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 00:09
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 20:25
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.03%E -2.16%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 20:25
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.62%E -2.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 00:15
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.25%E -1.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 21:24
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.44%E -2.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 00:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 22:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 20:24
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 20:25
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:14
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 00:09
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 00:04
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 21:50
Betclic (FR)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -7.88%E -3.49%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 23:48
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:40
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.85%E -1.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 20:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 00:15
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 00:14
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 00:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-07-11 00:04
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-07-11 00:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-11 00:15
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-07-10 14:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-10 20:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-11 00:15
BetOpenly2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-10 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-11 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-07-11 00:15
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-07-11 00:15