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Seattle Mariners v Toronto Blue Jays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Mariners (Local)
Prediction 59.48%1.68fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.41%59.49%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6564.52%62.17%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)
Prediction 40.52%2.47fair odd
EV -0.730%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.504%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.59%40.51%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.49%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 59.48%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 40.52%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.730%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.35%E -0.975%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 19:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-04 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.14%E -0.465%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.14%E -0.465%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-04 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.95%E -0.804%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.95%E -0.804%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 06:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 20:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 18:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.97%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.97%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.19%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.97%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 19:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 20:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.62%E -3.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -7.21%E -3.15%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 19:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-07-04 19:35 |