La scuola delle quote

Seattle Mariners v Toronto Blue Jays

Inizio: 2026-07-04 20:11 UTC

Finale: Seattle Mariners 11–0 Toronto Blue Jays

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Casa)

Previsione 59.48%1.68quota equa
EV -1.86%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.59%59.41%59.49%60.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.611.611.6564.52%62.17%62.11%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.52%2.47quota equa
EV -0.730%
Vantaggio -0.298%
Kelly -0.504%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.24%40.59%40.51%42.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.49%42.55%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.35%E -0.975%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 19:10
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 17:55
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 19:25
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 20:10
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.14%E -0.465%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 18:40
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.14%E -0.465%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 19:40
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.95%E -0.804%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.95%E -0.804%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 18:40
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 06:10
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:00
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 18:40
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 18:40
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 18:40
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 18:40
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 18:40
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 19:40
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.83%E -3.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.64%E -2.25%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.86%E -4.94%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 20:10
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 18:00
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 18:34
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 17:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 20:09
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:55
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 18:24
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 17:55
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 20:09
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 18:24
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.59%E -2.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 18:25
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:40
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:40
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.23%E -2.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.00%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:40
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.97%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.97%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 20:10
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 18:20
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 18:20
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 17:55
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 20:10
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.19%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 19:10
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.730%E -0.298%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 18:00
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 19:40
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.97%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 17:55
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 19:55
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 20:09
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:55
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.57%E -1.50%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 15:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 17:55
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.81%E -2.96%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 20:10
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.62%E -3.34%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.76%E -1.15%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 15:10
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%EV -3.16%E -1.32%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 20:10
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -7.21%E -3.15%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 19:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-04 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-07-04 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-07-04 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-07-04 20:05
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-04 20:10
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-07-04 20:10
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-07-04 20:05
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-07-04 20:10
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-07-04 20:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-04 19:35