The School of Odds

Seattle Mariners v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 21:10 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 4–0 Toronto Blue Jays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 50.88%1.97fair odd
EV -0.786%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -0.827%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.83%51.05%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.871.9556%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 49.12%2.04fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.630%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.17%48.95%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.952.0153%52%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 20:57
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:01
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:01
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:01
BetAnything1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.29%E -0.667%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:05
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.27%E -0.630%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-05 20:59
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.76%E -0.879%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 20:59
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 20:59
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:05
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 20:59
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 20:59
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:04
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:04
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:59
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 21:05
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 21:05
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 21:00
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:59
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:59
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:05
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 21:05
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 20:59
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 20:59
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 21:05
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 21:00
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 21:04
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 20:53
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 20:58
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.14%E -4.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 21:04
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 21:00
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:04
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 21:05
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 21:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 20:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 20:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 20:59
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 21:05
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.76%E -0.879%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 21:05
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 21:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 21:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.76%E -0.879%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 21:04
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 21:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-05 21:05
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-05 21:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-07-05 21:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-05 21:05
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-05 20:59
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%3.1%2026-07-05 21:05
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%3.6%2026-07-05 21:05