Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-07-05 21:10 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 4–0 Toronto Blue Jays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 50.88%1.97odd justa
EV -0.786%
Vantagem -0.403%
Kelly -0.827%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.83%51.05%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.871.9555.56%53.31%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 49.12%2.04odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.630%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.17%48.95%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.941.952.0153.48%51.58%51.28%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 50.88%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 49.12%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.97. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.95, com valor esperado de -0.786%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 20:57
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:01
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:01
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.29%E -0.667%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.27%E -0.630%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-05 20:59
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.76%E -0.879%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 20:59
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:05
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 20:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 20:59
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:04
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 21:05
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 21:00
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:59
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 21:05
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 20:59
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 20:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 21:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 21:04
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 20:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 20:58
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.14%E -4.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 21:04
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:04
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 21:05
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 21:05
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 20:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 21:05
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.76%E -0.879%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 21:05
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 21:05
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 21:04
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.76%E -0.879%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 21:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-05 21:05
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-05 21:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-07-05 21:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-05 21:05
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-05 20:59
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%3.1%2026-07-05 21:05
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%3.6%2026-07-05 21:05