مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v Toronto Blue Jays

البداية: 2026-07-05 21:10 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 4–0 Toronto Blue Jays

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.88%1.97السعر العادل
EV -0.786%
الأفضلية -0.403%
Kelly -0.827%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%50.83%51.05%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.881.871.9555.56%53.31%53.48%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.12%2.04السعر العادل
EV -1.27%
الأفضلية -0.630%
Kelly -1.25%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.37%49.17%48.95%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.871.941.952.0153.48%51.58%51.28%49.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 20:57
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:01
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:01
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.786%E -0.403%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:01
BetAnything1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.29%E -0.667%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 21:05
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.27%E -0.630%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-05 20:59
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.76%E -0.879%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 20:59
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 20:59
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 21:05
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 20:59
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 20:59
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:04
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:04
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:59
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 21:05
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 21:05
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 21:00
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:59
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 20:59
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 21:05
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 21:05
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 20:59
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 20:59
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 21:05
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 21:00
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 21:04
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 20:53
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 20:58
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.14%E -4.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 21:04
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 20:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 21:00
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:05
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 21:04
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 21:05
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 21:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 20:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 20:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 20:59
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 21:05
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.76%E -0.879%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 21:05
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 21:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 21:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.76%E -0.879%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 21:04
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 21:03
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-05 21:05
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-05 21:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-07-05 21:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-07-05 21:05
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-05 20:59
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%3.1%2026-07-05 21:05
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%3.6%2026-07-05 21:05