A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-05-16 23:16 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 4–7 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 60.40%1.66odd justa
EV +0.271%
Vantagem +0.163%
Kelly +0.410%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.40%60.28%60.57%61.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.591.591.6665.36%62.90%62.89%60.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 39.60%2.53odd justa
EV +0.178%
Vantagem +0.070%
Kelly +0.116%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.42%39.72%39.43%41.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.262.402.402.5344.25%41.68%41.67%39.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV +0.271%E +0.163%K +0.410%G +0.001%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.54%E -0.946%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.80%E -0.727%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 22:50
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.614%E -0.245%K -0.407%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 19:05
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.20%E -0.890%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 22:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 23:14
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -10.51%E -4.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 23:15
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.178%E +0.070%K +0.116%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:00
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.178%E +0.070%K +0.116%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.218%E -0.087%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 23:01
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.218%E -0.087%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 23:01
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.41%E -0.565%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 23:01
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:14
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 12:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:15
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 15:00
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -2.20%E -0.890%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 21:34
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.39%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 17:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 14:59
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 17:00
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 14:30
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:15
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 16:59
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.39%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 17:00
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 05:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-05-16 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-16 23:15
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:15
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-05-16 23:15