مدرسة الاحتمالات

Seattle Mariners v San Diego Padres

البداية: 2026-05-16 23:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Seattle Mariners 4–7 San Diego Padres

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Seattle Mariners (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.40%1.66السعر العادل
EV +0.271%
الأفضلية +0.163%
Kelly +0.410%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.40%60.28%60.57%61.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.591.591.6665.36%62.90%62.89%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Diego Padres (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.60%2.53السعر العادل
EV +0.178%
الأفضلية +0.070%
Kelly +0.116%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.42%39.72%39.43%41.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.262.402.402.5344.25%41.68%41.67%39.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV +0.271%E +0.163%K +0.410%G +0.001%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.54%E -0.946%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.80%E -0.727%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 22:50
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.614%E -0.245%K -0.407%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 19:05
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.20%E -0.890%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 22:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 23:14
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -10.51%E -4.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 23:15
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.178%E +0.070%K +0.116%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:00
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.178%E +0.070%K +0.116%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.218%E -0.087%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 23:01
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.218%E -0.087%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 23:01
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.41%E -0.565%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 23:01
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:14
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 12:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:15
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 15:00
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -2.20%E -0.890%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 21:34
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.39%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 17:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 14:59
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 17:00
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 14:30
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:15
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 16:59
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.39%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 17:00
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 05:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-05-16 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-16 23:15
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:15
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-05-16 23:15