L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 23:16 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 4–7 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 60.40%1.66cote équitable
EV +0.271%
Avantage +0.163%
Kelly +0.410%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.40%60.28%60.57%61.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.591.6665.36%62.90%62.89%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.60%2.53cote équitable
EV +0.178%
Avantage +0.070%
Kelly +0.116%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.42%39.72%39.43%41.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.262.402.402.5344.25%41.68%41.67%39.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV +0.271%E +0.163%K +0.410%G +0.001%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.54%E -0.946%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 23:10
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.80%E -0.727%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 22:50
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 21:40
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.614%E -0.245%K -0.407%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 19:05
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.20%E -0.890%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 22:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 23:14
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.14%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:40
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -10.51%E -4.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 23:15
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.178%E +0.070%K +0.116%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:00
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.178%E +0.070%K +0.116%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.218%E -0.087%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 23:01
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -0.218%E -0.087%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 23:01
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.41%E -0.565%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 23:01
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 23:15
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.10%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 23:14
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 12:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:15
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 23:15
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.96%E -2.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 15:00
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -2.20%E -0.890%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 21:34
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.39%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 17:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 19:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.16%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.56%E -2.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 14:59
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 17:00
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.18%E -1.73%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 14:30
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.17%E -3.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:15
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 16:59
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.39%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 17:00
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.78%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 05:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 17:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-05-16 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-05-16 23:15
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-16 23:15
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-05-16 23:15
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-05-16 23:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%3.2%2026-05-16 23:15