Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners v New York Mets

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 19:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 1–7 New York Mets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prediction 55.92%1.79fair odd
EV -0.459%
Edge -0.258%
Kelly -0.589%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.68%56.04%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.691.7860.61%58.81%59.00%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 44.08%2.27fair odd
EV +0.498%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.389%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%44.32%43.96%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.202.2850.00%45.78%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Mariners (Local): 55.92%; New York Mets (Visit): 44.08%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.498%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +0.498%E +0.219%K +0.389%G +0.002%2.7%2026-06-03 19:40
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -3.26%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -0.383%E -0.170%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 01:00
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.383%E -0.170%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 19:39
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.824%E -0.366%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.824%E -0.366%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.824%E -0.366%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:40
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.14%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 19:10
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.15%E -0.967%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.15%E -0.967%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 18:59
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.15%E -0.967%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 19:29
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.02%E -0.575%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.02%E -0.575%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 19:10
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 03:20
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 04:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 13:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.73%E -4.68%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 04:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 01:00
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 18:58
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:29
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 18:10
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 18:20
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.26%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.26%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:20
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:29
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 19:29
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 17:17
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 18:29
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-03 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.459%E -0.258%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.32%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.58%E -0.896%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 19:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 19:39
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.14%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.75%2.28I 43.86%NM 44.25%-0.9%2026-06-03 19:39
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-03 16:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-06-03 19:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-03 19:00
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-03 19:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-03 19:40