L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-03 19:41 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 1–7 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 55.92%1.79cote équitable
EV -0.459%
Avantage -0.258%
Kelly -0.589%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.33%55.68%56.04%57.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.701.691.7860.61%58.81%59.00%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.08%2.27cote équitable
EV +0.498%
Avantage +0.219%
Kelly +0.389%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.60%44.32%43.96%46.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.182.202.2850.00%45.78%45.45%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +0.498%E +0.219%K +0.389%G +0.002%2.7%2026-06-03 19:40
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -3.26%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -0.383%E -0.170%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 01:00
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.383%E -0.170%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 19:39
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.824%E -0.366%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.824%E -0.366%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.824%E -0.366%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:40
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.14%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 19:10
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.15%E -0.967%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 18:59
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.15%E -0.967%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 18:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.15%E -0.967%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 19:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.02%E -0.575%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 19:10
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.02%E -0.575%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 19:10
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 18:30
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 03:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 04:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 23:59
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 13:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:59
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:59
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.73%E -4.68%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 04:30
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 19:29
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 01:00
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 18:58
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:29
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 18:10
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 19:29
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 18:20
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.26%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.26%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:20
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:20
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 19:40
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 19:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 19:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 17:17
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 18:29
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-03 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.459%E -0.258%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.32%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.58%E -0.896%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 19:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 19:39
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.14%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 19:39
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.75%2.28I 43.86%NM 44.25%-0.9%2026-06-03 19:39
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-03 16:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-06-03 19:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-03 19:00
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-03 19:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-03 19:40