A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v New York Mets

Início: 2026-06-03 19:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 1–7 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 55.92%1.79odd justa
EV -0.459%
Vantagem -0.258%
Kelly -0.589%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%55.68%56.04%57.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.701.691.7860.61%58.81%59.00%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 44.08%2.27odd justa
EV +0.498%
Vantagem +0.219%
Kelly +0.389%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.60%44.32%43.96%46.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.182.202.2850.00%45.78%45.45%43.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV +0.498%E +0.219%K +0.389%G +0.002%2.7%2026-06-03 19:40
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -3.26%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -0.383%E -0.170%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 01:00
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.383%E -0.170%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 19:39
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.824%E -0.366%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.824%E -0.366%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.824%E -0.366%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:40
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.14%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 19:10
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.71%E -0.765%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.15%E -0.967%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 18:59
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.15%E -0.967%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 18:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.15%E -0.967%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 19:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.02%E -0.575%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 19:10
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.02%E -0.575%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 19:10
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 18:30
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 03:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 04:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 23:59
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 13:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:59
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 19:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:59
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.73%E -4.68%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 04:30
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 19:29
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 01:00
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 18:58
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:29
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 18:10
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 19:29
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.49%E -3.25%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.79%E -2.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-03 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 18:20
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.26%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.26%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:20
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:20
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 19:40
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 19:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 19:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 17:17
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.23%E -2.43%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 18:29
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.17%E -4.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-03 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -0.459%E -0.258%K -0.589%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -8.32%E -4.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -1.58%E -0.896%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 19:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 19:39
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.14%E -1.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-03 19:39
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.84%E -5.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 19:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.75%2.28I 43.86%NM 44.25%-0.9%2026-06-03 19:39
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-06-03 19:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-03 16:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-06-03 19:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-03 19:00
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-03 19:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-03 19:40